Man vs. Machine: Guess The Distance Challenge
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Man vs. Machine: Guess The Distance Challenge

Man vs. Machine: Guess The Distance Challenge

It’s a devilish par 3 with a forced carry of 185 yards to a pin tucked just behind a bunker.

That’s what your eyes are telling you, anyway. But can your eyes be trusted? How accurate is the average golfer when it comes to estimating yardages?

Within 5 yards? 10 yards? 20 yards?

PGA Tour professionals hole roughly 41% of putts from 10 feet, but that number drops to 5% for putts greater than 25 feet. You might have pured that 6-iron approach, but if your eyes aren’t perfectly calibrated, it’s likely costing you strokes. The point is, it pays to be close and getting it close starts with knowing the distance to the flag.

To get a sense of how accurate average golfers are when they eyeball distances, MyGolfSpy headed out to the course to dig up some answers.

DISCLAIMER: We did have a bit more fun that was likely absolutely necessary.

Let’s Get It!

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Chris Nickel

Chris Nickel

Chris Nickel

Chris is a self-diagnosed equipment and golf junkie with a penchant for top-shelf ice cream. When he's not coaching the local high school team, he's probably on the range or trying to keep up with his wife and seven beautiful daughters. Chris is based out of Fort Collins, CO and his neighbors believe long brown boxes are simply part of his porch decor. "Isn't it funny? The truth just sounds different."

Chris Nickel

Chris Nickel

Chris Nickel

Chris Nickel

Chris Nickel

Chris Nickel

Chris Nickel

Chris Nickel

Chris Nickel





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      Brad

      4 years ago

      I have a Precision Pro range finder, and bought it based on MGS tests from a couple of years ago.

      However, MGS have clearly made an ad here, either consciously or unconsciously. It seems the shine has worn off of the “independent” label MGS has always touted in the last year or so. I have started to take recommendations with a grain of salt unlike in the past. Not as much as some other clearly biased sites, but much more so than several years ago.

      Reply

      Kansas King

      4 years ago

      I would say you have to do some independent thinking and analysis with any organization that does testing, especially for golf. I don’t think MGS has bias because of ad revenue but more so because they are golf nuts like us. I’m not going to say there isn’t any influence because money is money. I think MGS does respectable testing for the most part but I never take their recommendations as gospel. For example, I don’t like that they value distance so much in iron and hybrid testing when distance control should be the primary directive for those clubs. It doesn’t make the testing invalid, it just means you have to look at the data yourself which I applaud MGS for giving us.

      I do think MGS should periodically analyze their content and processes to ensure nothing appears overly biased (consciously or unconsciously) but for the most part things seem okay.

      Reply

      Jack Keathley

      4 years ago

      I always use a laser range finder and I always have a replacement battery. I have confidence in which club I have the best chance to hit the green. Do I always hit my target? No! But I don’t have to wonder if I’m using the club that gives me the best chance to have a putt.

      Reply

      Dave S

      4 years ago

      Guys, this was clearly an Ad. At least say so. You created this pointless video as just so you could work in Precision Pro..

      Reply

      DIvot

      4 years ago

      Shame on you mygolfspy. This was just an advertisement for precision pro range finders, thought this was supposed to be an unbiased site

      Reply

      Bob

      4 years ago

      Sometimes it seems like buying an ad on MGS includes them doing “News pieces” on the products or companies themselves. Some are more obvious than others.

      I think it’s fair to put on such articles, “Full disclosure: X advertises on MGS,” etc. Even golf YouTubers disclose the sponsorship deals they’ve signed. I’m all for MGS making money. Just saying, more transparency is better.

      Reply

      Mark in LOL

      4 years ago

      This was stupid. Exactly what did it prove, that some people are better at judging distances than others? That it is difficult to judge distances after spinning around on the golf course?

      How about this comparison. Compare the yardage given by a range finder against that calculated by golfer using GPS to center of green and then adjusting for pin placement.

      Or how about this. Test accuracy of golfers to hit the ball a specific distance. Golfer is given a distance and gets to choose a club. No target to shoot at nor any feedback on how far a shot went during test. What is average distance and dispersion of shots.

      Reply

      Willie T

      4 years ago

      Okay so the video only confirmed what we knew, that laser range finders demonstrate that some are better than others at visual estimation. I have a range finder and have found it to help “confirm” in my head what distance I think I am seeing. I have a couple of friends who have the GPS type units that give front and back of greens as well, which in some ways gives a better “landing zone” understanding.

      Reply

      Justin Thomas

      4 years ago

      A good third challenge would be to have the golfers hit a shot and guess how far it actually went.

      Reply

      stueldo

      4 years ago

      All fine and dandy, but if you have 6 clubs in your bag that can hit that number is the range finder going to tell you which club to use? I don’t think so, just saying.

      Reply

      Chris Nickel

      4 years ago

      No, a rangefinder won’t, but stat-tracking platforms like Arccos and Shot Scope will.

      Reply

      scott

      4 years ago

      ..I don’t care that much to know the distance to the flag. I want to know Front of the green and back , depending on some greens it could be two club difference …But to the point range finders are more important then any club in the bag.

      Reply

      Brandon M

      4 years ago

      I dunno, it’s pretty hard to stick an approach shot tight with a range finder unless its within about 10 – 20 yards…

      Reply

      Mark in LOL

      4 years ago

      LOL! You might be able to putt with it!

      Jim

      4 years ago

      Well, I’m blind in one eye so some type of rangefinder device is a must for me. Small pocket gps or phone app for front and back and a laser rangefinder for the pin.

      Reply

      Mike in Pittsburgh

      4 years ago

      I use GPS, never laser rangefinders. First, I cannot always see the pin from an errant shot. Second, even when I can see the pin, holding the laser sufficiently still to get a good reading is often not easy. Some pins have laser reflectors, but many do not. Finally, my GPS (I have had several) has every course I play so I don’t have to download any course. The only issue is if the course has shffled the layout (I have run into that a couple of times.

      Reply

      Rick

      4 years ago

      That was great, enjoyed it.!

      Reply

      Scotez

      4 years ago

      As we pull up next to my ball I shoot the pin. By the time I get out of the cart I know what club to hit. Saves me time and gives me a little more confidence.. However, biggest advantage is actually the time I save thinking or looking for yard markers are guessing how far that flag really is.

      Reply

      talljohn777

      4 years ago

      And that is why we have laser rangefinders.

      Reply

      RGD

      4 years ago

      At the end of the day, hope you gave all three (good sports) a range finder.

      Reply

      don

      4 years ago

      We do this test every year with the high school team. Even putting from 30′ they miss by as much as 6′. The 1st response is always I don’t hit i good enough. Our answer is if you only hit it well 1 out of 10 its even more of a shame if you miss the green because you have the wrong club.

      Reply

      Bill Bamber

      4 years ago

      To me it is simple. I just find the 100 yds. & 150 yds. markers & walk off the ydge. Worst case; is that I know that I’m no more than 5 yds. out.
      It is how I hit it that’s scary….

      Reply

      don

      4 years ago

      If you miss the pin by 15′ most people would be extremely happy. Add another 5yds and now your not even on the green in some cases.

      Reply

      JasonA

      4 years ago

      It’s about cumulative error. My miss hit drops me no more than 10 yards.. if I have 5 yard distance estimation error, that’s a total of 15 yards from pin vs 10 yards. Or bring 5 yards long on a perfect strike. Think of comparing 2 putt from 30 ft Vs chipping from 45 ft. Or birdie putt from 6ft Vs 18

      ft.

      I’m no great shakes as a golfer, but my distance control gives me an edge over my playing partners.. Not just in theory. Last club competition I won I got up and down from 48 yards. Pitch mark was on the button. My slightly closer partner took 3 shots from similar pitch in to the green.

      Reply

      Divot

      4 years ago

      That only works if you are in the middle of the fairway, otherwise it’s a guesstimate

      Reply

      Rick Wake

      4 years ago

      I think people who play the same golf course become very good at estimating yardage visually, when they play someplace strange that goes out the door. I play at many different courses and have never used (owned) a distance device. I feel that is rapidly becoming a lost art that is a part of golf.. sacrificed to the idea that it speeds up the game. I see guys take out the devise when they are 10 yards from the green or worse yet go back and forth to their cart to check and double check their device to verify what they saw the first time. To me I enjoy playing without the outside help, feel that is how it should be played, but am glad when someone can verify my decision once in a while.

      Reply

      steven

      4 years ago

      Good demo, confirmed most sight reasonably accurately — good to know distance but since most golfers are fair at best controlling distance – to me says Steve hit it, focus on making a good swing – relax and for the nay sayer’s, look at your controls, notice you have an on and off switch – get over it, was it a sales pitch, who cares. Watched for fun, try it, that super swing tip, a fun attitude lowers handicaps by 26.8%. Do I look like I would lie?

      Reply

      TenBuck

      4 years ago

      I use a range finder and get the yardage but generally when I hit my shot, very seldom it’s going to be a gimme. I’m also happy if I’m within 10 ft. consistently, so I take the range finder with a grain of salt.

      Reply

      JasonA

      4 years ago

      Nice advert, very subtle :-)

      Reply

      Dave Tutelman

      4 years ago

      I expected better from MyGolfSpy. There was nothing useful here, and clearly no intention of discovering anything useful. Right now, my wife is watching “The Price is Right” on TV. This is the golf equipment equivalent of that silly TV game show.

      Reply

      Cody

      4 years ago

      Golf is a game. It is OK to have fun once in a while. There is some useful info. Accuracy is helpful is the point.

      Reply

      DeMarlo

      4 years ago

      Dean Wormer has spoken – no more fun of any kind….

      Reply

      Rob

      4 years ago

      This was great, good job guys. I play with some old timers who never use a range finder or GPS they are almost always within 2 -5 yards when I shoot the distance.

      The younger guys I play with all use a DMD of some sort!

      Reply

      Brandon

      4 years ago

      I always use a range finder but when I’m playing with my dad he will call out the yardages right before and that old man is usually within 1-5 yards every time. I then get a look and he tells me that he doesn’t need one of those things.

      Reply

      David W

      4 years ago

      I would never say I’m as good as a laser at gauging the distance, but I do know that I am much better now after using one for several years than I was before. I’m especially better at gauging the difference based on slope after only playing with buddies who have the slope feature. I was WAY off on that before.

      Reply

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