How Putting Miss Patterns Change From Scratch To 25 Handicap
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How Putting Miss Patterns Change From Scratch To 25 Handicap

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How Putting Miss Patterns Change From Scratch To 25 Handicap

Most golfers think about putting in terms of how many putts they make in a round.

That number matters but it does not tell the whole story. The way golfers miss putts reveals just as much about skill level.

Two players can have similar putts per round while missing in very different ways. One might consistently roll the ball past the hole while another struggles with distance control and leaves putts short.

Shot Scope handicap data from scratch through 25 handicap shows how those patterns change across skill levels. When you look at where putts are missed along with make percentages, a few clear trends begin to show up on the greens.

Putting performance and miss patterns by handicap

HandicapPutts per RoundMake % (0-3 feet)Make % (6-9 feet)Miss LongMiss Short
Scratch29.998%49%58%42%
530.396%44%54%45%
1031.296%39%52%48%
1532.193%36%45%55%
2033.490%33%45%55%
2534.388%30%41%59%

Better players run putts past the hole

One of the clearest differences in the data is pace.

Scratch golfers miss long 58 percent of the time. Their putts are more likely to reach the hole with enough speed to drop. They give themselves a chance.

As handicap increases that pattern flips. By the time you reach a 25 handicap, nearly 60 percent of missed putts come up short. Many golfers are protecting against a comeback putt instead of giving the first putt a chance to fall.

The biggest putting gap appears from six to 12 feet

The largest separation between skill levels shows up in the mid-range.

From six to nine feet, scratch golfers convert 49 percent of their putts. A 25 handicap makes 30 percent. From nine to 12 feet, scratch golfers make 34 percent while a 25 handicap drops to 17 percent.

Those are the putts that turn good approach shots into birdies or easy pars. When stronger players get inside this range, they convert far more often.

Short putts still separate players

Even from close range, there is a noticeable difference. Scratch golfers convert 98 percent of putts inside three feet. A 25 handicap makes 88 percent. Ten percentage points may not sound dramatic but over the course of a round, those misses add up quickly.

Final thoughts

If there is one takeaway from the data, it is that better players are simply more willing to get the ball to the hole. A putt that finishes two feet past the cup leaves the same comeback distance as a putt that stops two feet short but only one of those putts ever had a chance to drop.

If you are looking for one simple place to start improving your putting, focus on getting the ball to the hole consistently and letting the putt have a chance to fall.

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Brittany Olizarowicz

Brittany Olizarowicz

Brittany Olizarowicz

Britt Olizarowicz is a scratch golfer, former teaching professional and one of MyGolfSpy’s leading voices on equipment testing and golf performance. She has spent more than 15 years working at private clubs in New York and Florida and now specializes in translating test data and swing mechanics into practical advice for everyday golfers. Britt began playing at age 7 and has never left the game. When she’s not writing, you’ll find her on the course, playing pickleball, cooking, running or out on the boat with her family.

Brittany Olizarowicz

Brittany Olizarowicz

Brittany Olizarowicz





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      BostonGolfer

      3 months ago

      What this data is telling me is going from a 10 handicap to a scratch, putting is just ~ 13% of that equation and only 8% if you’re trying to go from a 5 to scratch. It looks like it’s 17% when trying to go from a 25 to scratch. That isn’t to say putting isn’t important, but it’s relative importance is less than what I expected. Anecdotally, I often hear improve your putting and you’ll improve your scores fast, but the data here suggests that isn’t the case. Just a different way to look at the data. As always, MGS presents interesting data that is helpful in many ways. I will be working on my speed control.

      Reply

      Kyle

      3 months ago

      The make rate from 9 feet on the pga tour is not even as high as the Scratch rate here. I font believe the stats used in this article.

      Reply

      Sean

      3 months ago

      It’s shot scope data, which in regard to putting is incredibly unreliable. I’ve used Shotscope for years and the putting element of it is so inaccurate and so annoying that the only take I would use it for is for how many putts you take. I have to remap pretty much every putt of every round except for tap ins, and you can never really map just where you were on every green retrospectively as we can only estimate how far we were.

      Shotscope is great for driving, irons and short game stats, but it’s not great at all on Putting.

      Bryan Reynolds

      3 months ago

      Speed control is a critical skill in putting for sure, but I don’t think the answer is as simple as never up, never in. Before everyone goes all in on making sure ALL your putts get past the hole…I’ve got three words for you – “effective hole size”. Check out the work by Erik Barzeski. Add to that some expectation management for putts over 20 feet. See the work by Scott Fawcett on dispersion patterns and course strategy. In particular, he did a YouTube video with GolfWell’s Cordie Walker where they talk about this specifically. By trying to get every putt to the hole, you’re going to trade those 1 footers short of the hole for some 4 footers coming back. Since more of your putts will be moving faster, I’m not sure you’ll make all that many more (see effective hole size above). Even accounting for some additional made putts, statistically, trading 1 footers for 4 footers is not optimal.

      Reply

      Dave

      3 months ago

      Brittany— as always thanks for the info. However, there’s something missing in these stats if you are saying that a 20 handicap golfer make approximately 34 putts round. I am a 70 yr old golfer with a 18 to 20 handicap and play with a lot of guys essentially my age who fit in that 20 handicap pattern. While this is a very small sample size, I can assure you that most 20 handicappers average more than 34 per round. Obviously however, you slice it that’s 2 one putts for 18 holes with no 3 putts That’s just not reality with a 20 handicap or, someone who shoots 90 to 92 for 18 holes.

      Reply

      Chisag

      3 months ago

      While I can’t argue with stats and this is great work by Brittany as usual, I did a fitting years ago with Kevin Weeks who works with guys on tour. I am a die in the hole putter and he wanted me to roll the ball 18″ past the hole and we worked on that. Then went back to die in the hole and he suggested I stick with that. My brain is wired to see the speed to get to the hole and trying to run a put well past the hole just didn’t compute causing erratic speed control. He said I would miss putts that will slide off the hole or lose speed close to the hole and more prone to move off line than a putt with more speed. But the upside is I will make more putts that catch the edge and fall in the side.

      Through the years I have learned to hit short makable putts like 6 feet and under with more speed maybe going 12″ past the hole but for longer putts and really long lag putts I will more often than not come up short more than long but still leave a tap in.

      Reply

      Tom Sampson

      3 months ago

      I am a shot scope user. I like the data it provides for performance tracking and on course data. That said, I do not put a lot of faith in putting distance numbers, especially for short putts. While I don’t doubt the end assumption about scratch golfers miss long and higher handicappers miss short given I play with a wide range of skilled (and like me, not so skilled) golfers and those tendencies ring true. It is that even though the devise is accurate, I am not sure it is one foot to three foot accurate, at least based on my editing of round data from time to time. Also, the numbers assume I accurately mark the pin location on every hole. That does not happen 100% of the time. Sometimes I step away from the pin to record the hole while someone finishes their putt. Or, I reach over the hole and tap in a putt that missed long. Now, given the vast amount of data collected I think the majority of the data is a good 99.37% accurate, I just think the under 3 foot data way not be that accurate.

      I could be wrong. Any other Shot Scope users out there agree or disagree with me?

      Thank you,

      Tom S.

      Reply

      Greg L

      3 months ago

      Completely agree. I only put enough effort to get the right number of putts at roughly the right distance. Many times you can’t even zoom in enough to accurately mark the starting locations, if you can even remember them. I think Lou Stagner arccos data would suggest that you’re putts would ideally be equally scattered short and long to maximize the chance of hitting the next putt.

      Reply

      Sean

      3 months ago

      Totally agree with you. Shotscope is next to useless for putting as it is incredibly poor at mapping the putting element and picking up a shot.
      Most users will have to edit every round to do so and we don’t estimate how far our putts were from the hole very well.

      I am happy to take Shotscope data for my total putts, GIR etc, but I’m not taking its distance claims very well because you have to tap it on your putt, tap at the pin and press a button to record the number of putts. It’s just got too many points of failure there plus it’s a cheap product so the GPS element is low quality.

      Reply

      Andrew the Great!

      3 months ago

      My only quibble is that “One might consistently roll the ball past the hole while another struggles with distance control and leaves putts short.” suggests that they *both* struggle with distance control, if they both make a mistake consistently (and “leaves putts short” in that context is an implied mistake, so “rolling the ball past the hole” in the same context is an implied mistake, too). I suspect there are times when it makes sense to roll the ball past the hole – on a downhill putt – and when to leave it short – on an uphill putt.

      FWIW, I say all this as a 10.2 hcp index who struggles with distance control, both long and short.

      Reply

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