What You Should Expect To Shoot On Each Hole Based On Your Handicap
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What You Should Expect To Shoot On Each Hole Based On Your Handicap

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What You Should Expect To Shoot On Each Hole Based On Your Handicap

I spend a lot of time teaching my kids how to play golf and one of the hardest things to explain is expectation.

What is a good score on a hole?

If my son has a 20-foot putt to save par and misses, should he be upset? Maybe for a second. But has he earned the right to expect that putt to go in? Not yet.

That’s the part golfers struggle with. We all want to hold ourselves to a high standard but the standard has to match the player.

If Scottie Scheffler has 110 yards into a green and leaves himself 50 feet, he has every reason to be frustrated. He has invested the time. His skill level creates a different expectation. For most amateurs, 50 feet from the hole after an approach shot might be a reasonable result.

That doesn’t mean you should start settling for bogeys just because a chart says they are normal for your handicap. It does mean knowing what golfers at your level typically shoot on par-3s, par-4s and par-5s can help you judge your round fairly.

Here’s a look at some Shot Scope data on average scoring per hole based on handicap.

Average score by handicap and hole type

Before we get into the bigger takeaways, the main scoring averages are worth looking at on their own.

A few things stand out right away. Scratch golfers are still averaging over par on par-3s and par-4s. Par-5s are the only hole type where they average under par. At the other end, the 25-handicap par-5 number jumps off the page. Averaging 7.0 on par-5s tells you those holes are not automatic scoring chances for higher-handicap players. They may be where the round starts to get away.

HandicapPar 3 Avg. ScorePar 4 Avg. ScorePar 5 Avg. ScoreAvg. Score vs. Par
03.24.24.8+2.01
53.44.55.3+7.98
103.74.85.6+12.96
153.95.16.0+18.41
204.05.46.3+23.18
254.25.97.0+29.87

The hardest hole for your handicap changes as your handicap changes

The hardest hole type is not the same for every golfer. Based on the average score data, here’s how the hole types rank by handicap.

HandicapHardest Hole TypeSecond HardestEasiest Hole Type
0Par-3/Par-4 tiePar-5
5Par-4Par-3Par-5
10Par-4Par-3Par-5
15Par-4Par-5Par-3
20Par-4Par-5Par-3
25Par-5Par-4Par-3

To me, this is a distance story.

For 15-, 20- and 25-handicap golfers, par-3s are the easiest holes because one iron shot is less daunting than needing to hit driver in play, advance the next shot and still finish the hole. As players gain distance and become more reliable off the tee, the narrative flips.

Par-5s become scoring opportunities and par-3s stop feeling quite so easy. A 25-handicap can play a par-3 with bogey as a reasonable target while a scratch golfer is trying to hit the green, control distance and create a real birdie chance with just one swing.

Doubles matter more than nirdies

Average score is useful but the birdie, bogey and double-bogey data tells another important story.

A scratch golfer averages more than two birdies per round but the bigger difference is that they average just 0.27 doubles. They almost never let a hole get away. Keeping doubles off the scorecard has a much larger impact on scoring than making birdies.

HandicapBirdies Per RoundBogeys Per RoundDoubles Or Worse Per Round
02.343.870.27
51.266.121.44
100.727.202.88
150.368.104.68
200.367.386.66
250.186.129.18

Front nine versus back nine

The data shows that the back nine and front nine scoring is relatively equal across all handicaps.

HandicapFront Nine Avg. ScoreBack Nine Avg. ScoreBack Nine Difference
036.236.4+0.2
539.639.4-0.2
1042.141.9-0.2
1544.844.80.0
2047.546.6-0.9
2549.549.4-0.1

What is a good score on a hole?

A good score depends on your handicap and the hole you’re playing.

For a scratch golfer, bogey is a mistake; for a 20-handicap, bogey is often a solid result. For a 25-handicap, making bogey on a par-5 is gaining ground on the field.

The golf course itself will influence these numbers based on difficulty, setup and conditions.

You can still want to get better, push yourself and be disappointed after a poor shot. But your expectations should match your current game.

For You

For You

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Brittany Olizarowicz

Brittany Olizarowicz

Brittany Olizarowicz

Britt Olizarowicz is a scratch golfer, former teaching professional and one of MyGolfSpy’s leading voices on equipment testing and golf performance. She has spent more than 15 years working at private clubs in New York and Florida and now specializes in translating test data and swing mechanics into practical advice for everyday golfers. Britt began playing at age 7 and has never left the game. When she’s not writing, you’ll find her on the course, playing pickleball, cooking, running or out on the boat with her family.

Brittany Olizarowicz

Brittany Olizarowicz

Brittany Olizarowicz





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      Dennis

      1 month ago

      Every single weekend golfer needs to get over themselves, me included.

      We are not tour players, we are not scratch golfers.

      Why are we out there early Sunday morning? To challenge ourselves and enjoy the fresh air.

      Expecting to shoot 72, when you average 105, and getting pissed off when you double bogey a hole, is immature.

      Grow up and have zero expectations about your game. Just enjoy the fact you can get out, enjoy the weather, the company and you can actually play.

      Reply

      Pat

      1 month ago

      Can’t help but think people on the course are comparing themselves to tour players. The guys they see on TV aren’t just the best golfers in the world, they are the ones, of that group, who are playing the best that week. Why would anyone think they could even come close to that level of shot making? I have learned to be happy with being anywhere up near the green in two with a chance to “save” par. And the work on my short game to do this has actually helped my approach shots. No TV golf for me but my expectations have gotten a lot more realistic.

      Reply

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